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US 10-year yield surpasses 4% amid Fed rate path reassessment - REUTERS

OCTOBER 07, 2024

By Chuck Mikolajczak


  • Strong US jobs growth dampens recession worries
  • 10-yr yield tops 4% for first time since early August
  • Dollar eases after hitting seven-week high versus yen

NEW YORK, Oct 7 (Reuters) - A gauge of global stocks was little changed on Monday and U.S. Treasury yields climbed, with the benchmark 10-year note topping 4% as investors reassessed the path of interest rates from the Federal Reserve.
The U.S. 10-year note climbed to 4.03%, its highest since Aug. 1 and first time above 4% since Aug. 8 after Friday's stronger-than-expected U.S. payrolls report fueled expectations the Fed will dial back its aggressiveness in cutting interest rates.

Markets were completely pricing in a cut of at least 25 basis points just a week ago, with a 34.7% chance for another outsized 59 basis-point cut. Advertisement · Scroll to continue The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes was last up 4.5 basis points to 4.026%. The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations, rose 6.7 basis points to 3.999% after rising to 4.027%, its highest since Aug. 20. A closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve measuring the gap between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury notes , seen as an indicator of economic expectations, was at a positive 2.5 basis points after briefly inverting for the first time since Sept. 18. Advertisement · Scroll to continue Major U.S. economic data is not scheduled to be released until Thursday, when the consumer price index is issued. Fed Chair Jerome Powell and other Fed officials have commented recently that the central bank has shifted its focus from combating high inflation to labor market stability. Several Fed officials are scheduled to speak this week, including Governor Michelle Bowman and Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic on Monday. Hezbollah rockets early on Monday hit Haifa, the third-largest city in Israel, which looked poised to expand its ground incursions into southern Lebanon on the first anniversary of the Gaza war. U.S. crude rose 1.82% to $75.73 a barrel and Brent rose to $79.33 per barrel, up 1.64% on the day. The dollar index , which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, fell 0.05% to 102.48, with the euro down 0.01% at $1.0975. Against the Japanese yen , the dollar weakened 0.38% to 148.14 after hitting a seven-week high of 149.13. Sterling weakened 0.3% to $1.3076. The Bank of Japan said broadening wage hikes were underpinning consumption and prodding more firms in regional areas to pass on rising labor costs, signaling the economy was making progress towards meeting the prerequisite for more interest rate hikes. To read Reuters Markets and Finance news, click on: https://www.reuters.com/finance/markets For the state of play of Asian stock markets please click on:

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