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Oil holds advance as lower Russia flows offset Trump’s tariffsnd - BLOOMBERG

FEBRUARY 11, 2025

 

Oil steadied after the biggest gain in almost four weeks as tighter Russian crude supply overshadowed concerns over the fallout from President Donald Trump’s expanding tariffs.

West Texas Intermediate traded above $72 a barrel after climbing nearly 2 per cent on Monday, while Brent closed higher for a second session near $76. Russian data showed production last month slipped further below the nation’s OPEC+ quota, according to people familiar with the figures.

Oil has had a rocky start to the year, initially rising on higher heating demand due to a cold Northern Hemisphere winter and U.S. sanctions on Russia’s crude industry. However, prices have declined the past three weeks as Trump’s tariff regime has threatened trade wars on multiple fronts.

The U.S. president most recently ordered a 25 per cent tariff on all U.S. aluminum and steel imports, including from Canada and Mexico, the country’s top two foreign suppliers. The levies take effect on March 4, and Trump said they “may go higher,” casting the effort to help bolster domestic production.

Trump has also said Israel should call off its ceasefire agreement with Hamas if hostages aren’t returned this weekend, risking another escalation of hostilities. Both have accused each other of violating the terms of the deal.

There are signs of tightness in some corners of the market, notably in the Middle East, where the broader curtailment of competing flows has meant that producers in the region have been able to raise prices for their main Asian customers. In Europe, soaring natural gas prices has made it more cost-effective to burn oil, which could potentially lead to a demand boost.

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