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West Africa facing 10% drop in cocoa output in 2025/26, industry sources say - REUTERS

JULY 10, 2025

Summary

  • Cocoa-leading region coming off two below-average harvests
  • Industry researchers downgrading their earlier 2025/26 forecasts
  • Flower, young pod mortality rates high, despite improved weather

ABIDJAN, July 9 (Reuters) - West African cocoa production, which has faced two successive below-average harvests, is likely to see another 10% decline in the upcoming 2025/26 season despite marginally improved weather conditions, industry sources told Reuters.

Ivory Coast and Ghana - the world's two leading producers - along with Nigeria and Cameroon, account for over two-thirds of global cocoa output. But they are struggling with shifting weather patterns, ageing tree stocks, disease and destructive small-scale gold mining.

Pod counters employed by cocoa exporters and trading houses are currently visiting plantations to carry out crop assessments for the 2025/26 season, which opens in October.

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