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Oil Set for Fourth Monthly Drop on Glut Outlook With WTI Halted - BLOOMBERG

NOVEMBER 28, 2025

BY  Alex Longley


 Oil headed for a fourth monthly loss, as traders looked ahead to an OPEC+ meeting this weekend and gauged how a potential Ukraine peace deal may impact an oversupplied market.

Brent steadied above $63 a barrel, after a modest advance on Thursday, as an outage on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange caused disruptions to markets across equities, foreign exchange, bonds and commodities. The global benchmark was set for the longest streak of monthly drops since May 2023.

West Texas Intermediate futures were near $59 before trading on Nymex froze in the Asian morning. Live trading of commodities futures on the CME has stopped due to technical issues, according to a notice on the CME Group website. Nymex is part of the CME Group. The halt also impacted gasoline and diesel futures that are due to expire on Friday.

OPEC+ nations meet virtually on Sunday and will probably stick with a plan to pause output increases in early 2026, delegates said. With that decision locked in, a key focus may be a long-term review of members’ capacity.

Brent oil has fallen 15% this year, with prices hurt by expectations for a global glut after OPEC+ restarted capacity, while drillers outside the alliance also added supplies.

On Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir Putin said that US President Donald Trump’s proposals for ending the war could be the basis for future agreements and expressed an openness to talks, though sticking points that led to stalemates in previous rounds remain. US presidential envoy Steve Witkoff is expected to visit Moscow next week.

WATCH: As the CME outage disrupts trading, oil is heading for a fourth monthly loss. Will Kennedy reports.Source: Bloomberg
WATCH: As the CME outage disrupts trading, oil is heading for a fourth monthly loss. Will Kennedy reports.Source: Bloomberg

An end to the conflict would have significant ramifications for the oil market. Russia is one of the world’s leading producers and its flows are subject to heavy Western sanctions. Any easing of curbs following a deal could unleash restricted supplies to buyers such as China, India and Turkey.

“It may take some time for a potential Ukraine-Russia peace deal to go through as Russia may look to store up some barrels instead of rushing to sell them,” said Mukesh Sahdev, the founder and chief executive officer of XAnalysts Pty, an energy market analysis firm. That could make prompt prices slightly bullish, before it gets bearish, he said.

--With assistance from Charlie Zhu and Sarah Chen.

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