English>

Market News

UK's faulty labour market means rates must stay high - BoE's Haskel - REUTERS

NOVEMBER 06, 2023

By 

LONDON, Nov 3 (Reuters) - Bank of England interest rate-setter Jonathan Haskel said on Friday that Britain's labour market was not functioning as well as it should, which would keep interest rates high.

Haskel said the ability of the labour market to match workers with vacancies appeared to have deteriorated.

"With an impaired labour market, interest rates would have to remain higher for longer than would otherwise be the case," he said in remarks he released alongside a panel discussion at a economics conference hosted by King's College London.

Haskel was one of three members of the BoE's Monetary Policy Committee who voted for a rate hike on Thursday. A majority of six decided to keep Bank Rate on hold.

Haskel said some modelling he had done suggested Britain's equilibrium unemployment rate - the rate needed to keep inflation low and stable - had risen as high as 6%.

Haskel said in the panel discussion that this estimate was "very much an upper bound" but that he believed the equilibrium unemployment rate was "probably a bit higher" than the BoE's latest, upwardly revised estimate.

On Thursday, the BoE revised its estimate of the equilibrium unemployment rate to around 4.5% from 4.25%.

Britain's unemployment rate was 4.2% in the three months to the end of August.

Haskel said it was not possible to know if unemployment would have to rise above the 5% forecast by the BoE for late 2025 in order to return inflation - currently 6.7% - to its 2% target.


Writing by William Schomberg, editing by Andy Bruce and Alistair Smout

SEE HOW MUCH YOU GET IF YOU SELL

NGN
This website uses cookies We use cookies to personalise content and ads, to provide social media features and to analyse our traffic. We also share information about your use of our site with our social media, advertising and analytics partners who may combine it with other information that you've provided to them or that they've collected from your use of their services
Real Time Analytics